Honest research

Hypothesis graveyard

What we tested โ€” and what failed. The normal output of our research is a null; the permanent record of rejected hypotheses is the honest result.

Pre-registered studies: the hypothesis and its success criterion are committed before the result is computed. "Rejected" means the hypothesis failed its own pre-committed test โ€” that is a result, not a failure of the method.

Pre-registered studies

Every study was registered in writing before the run; the document is auditable in the repository.

StudyRegisteredStatusResult

Factor Discovery Program

Candidates are judged per family with a Benjamini-Hochberg FDR; rejected hypotheses are kept permanently. Promotion is rare and requires an explicit sign-off. Nothing here is a signal, a direction, or a recommendation.

FamilyTestedRejectedSurvivors

The graveyard

Permanent. Rejected hypotheses are never resurrected.

HypothesisFamilyRejectedp (out-of-sample)FDR-corrected

ยท Research classification only. Not investment advice, no recommendation, no performance claim.